November 2021 v. November 2019

A Monthly Look at Capacity Trends by Single-Aisle Aircraft With a Focus on the Deployment of Aircraft With 50 Seats or Less

Commentary

  • As the industry watches the price of a barrel of oil increase and the
    uncertainty of the trained and available skilled labor market (pilots and
    mechanics) persist, it was suggested by many that we begin to track the
    capacity deployment in the regional sector.

  • The trend toward larger airframes in the regional sector has been underway
    since changes in mainline pilot scope clauses were negotiated as the
    industry restructured itself. This is expected to continue but of course will be
    subject to negotiations with mainline pilots.

  • Most important is to appreciate is that the single-aisle aircraft service
    recovery is being done with large regional and mainline equipment. Small
    regional equipment is now performing less than two-thirds of the departures
    performed in 2019.

  • IT IS ABOUT TO GET WORSE. The dearth of pilots is acute.

 
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